0x7c45a5704d157030fe28305bbd80b26be60a6e63
0x7c45a5704d157030fe28305bbd80b26be60a6e63
- Realised P&L
- $-140.96
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $10.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty vs. Delaware · Liberty | 0.710 | 0.705 | $3.91 | −$0.03 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.599 | 0.536 | $3.56 | −$0.42 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.361 | 0.446 | $2.41 | +$0.46 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.006 | $0.18 | −$4.22 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.003 | $0.16 | −$2.75 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.003 | $0.14 | −$2.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.82at 0.264England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$9.38at 0.390Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
- +$9.26at 0.617Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
- +$8.22at 0.547Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
- +$6.44at 0.607Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 06:38 | Liberty vs. Delaware | BUY | 0.7099999712 | $3.94 |
| 09-30 15:17 | Steelers vs. Browns | SELL | 0.57 | $4.78 |
| 09-30 15:17 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.5799999809 | $4.87 |
| 09-29 11:57 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.32 | $1.92 |
| 09-29 05:25 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4699999515 | $3.88 |
| 09-29 05:23 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.64 | $3.91 |
| 09-28 20:09 | Will Belgium vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3799999683 | $1.92 |
| 09-28 13:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5991869725 | $3.98 |
| 09-26 19:53 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.5499999661 | $4.87 |
| 09-25 11:01 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.7599999753 | $4.93 |
| 09-22 19:40 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 19:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6509999647 | $4.98 |
| 09-22 19:37 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.90 |
| 09-22 18:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $4.98 |
| 09-16 10:00 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3609999365 | $1.95 |