Henry3216
0x7c3e48b3519866a3ba0efc47b06195f004a2c3c6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.88
- Volume
- $654.09
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $24.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.225 | $24.94 | −$1.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.92at 0.247Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
- +$0.31at 0.550Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-0.19at 0.019Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.43at 0.470Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$-0.51at 0.168Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 22:34 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $26.60 |
| 09-15 22:31 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.222 | $28.29 |
| 09-15 22:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2282310508 | $29.08 |
| 09-15 22:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.46 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 22:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.94 |
| 09-15 22:25 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.016 | $0.89 |
| 09-15 22:25 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.157 | $4.82 |
| 09-15 22:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.25 |
| 09-14 21:25 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5399999974 | $8.33 |
| 09-14 21:24 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:23 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.162999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 21:22 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 21:21 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0179999999 | $1.00 |