haolilaia
0x7c3927516f750244ccb7319dfc0b299c268bd9e0
- Realised P&L
- $-3.06
- Volume
- $56.49
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.702 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · No | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.23 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.89 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.99 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.78at 0.597Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$1.75at 0.420Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$1.20at 0.607Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$0.81at 0.600Bruins vs. Canadiens
- +$0.67at 0.669Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 18:47 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 15:04 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.2899999079 | $1.89 |
| 06-27 14:12 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.4199999551 | $2.99 |
| 06-23 10:52 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.3699999413 | $2.46 |
| 06-22 17:35 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.84 |
| 06-20 13:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999845 | $1.75 |
| 05-28 10:54 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6599998424 | $1.34 |
| 05-18 10:41 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.5899999231 | $2.61 |
| 05-15 16:23 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship? | BUY | 0.8199998099 | $2.76 |
| 05-15 13:34 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.61 | $3.28 |
| 03-21 12:49 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.4899999146 | $2.64 |
| 03-17 13:45 | Bruins vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.5999999016 | $1.22 |
| 03-16 15:07 | Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.3399998231 | $1.23 |
| 03-15 10:45 | Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.4199998809 | $1.27 |