PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

haolilaia

0x7c3927516f750244ccb7319dfc0b299c268bd9e0

Realised P&L
$-3.06
Volume
$56.49
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$0.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.7700.702$0.91−$0.09
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · No0.3400.000$0.00−$1.23
Will United States win on 2026-07-01? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$1.89
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.75
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$2.99
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$2.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 18:47Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by December 31, 2027?BUY0.77$1.00
06-30 15:04Will United States win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.2899999079$1.89
06-27 14:12Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4199999551$2.99
06-23 10:52Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.3699999413$2.46
06-22 17:35Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.6$1.84
06-20 13:18Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.6799999845$1.75
05-28 10:54Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.6599998424$1.34
05-18 10:41Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5899999231$2.61
05-15 16:23Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.8199998099$2.76
05-15 13:34Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.61$3.28
03-21 12:49Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.4899999146$2.64
03-17 13:45Bruins vs. CanadiensBUY0.5999999016$1.22
03-16 15:07Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.3399998231$1.23
03-15 10:45Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?BUY0.4199998809$1.27