levvercetti
0x7c36236690d4a7a253270286789ffcdcbf4f652b
- Realised P&L
- $11.90
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.898 | 0.955 | $715.71 | +$42.71 |
| Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? · No | 0.846 | 0.905 | $509.93 | +$33.13 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No | 0.841 | 0.925 | $427.27 | +$38.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.00at 0.781Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
- +$14.54at 0.860Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
- +$8.75at 0.800Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
- +$1.13at 0.977US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$1.06at 0.940Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:17 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 05-28 08:16 | Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $30.00 |
| 04-08 14:48 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $78.00 |
| 04-08 14:48 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 04-06 18:40 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.76 | $98.80 |
| 04-06 17:24 | Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999959 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 17:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 17:16 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $400.00 |
| 04-03 10:11 | Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.809999997 | $35.00 |
| 04-03 10:11 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $35.00 |
| 04-03 10:09 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $51.12 |
| 03-31 12:47 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.8099999957 | $30.00 |
| 03-31 12:28 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.9769999998 | $50.00 |