iceman313
0x7c32c42713052730ded1d8131590a58ac89bae78
- Realised P&L
- $91.66
- Volume
- $588.96
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $249.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar15.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.875 | $118.24 | +$18.24 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.978 | 1.000 | $102.25 | +$2.25 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.850 | 1.000 | $11.76 | +$1.76 |
| Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.805 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? · No | 0.650 | 0.690 | $6.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.896 | 0.817 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · No | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.51at 0.610Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.19at 0.462Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 11:21 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.6499999783 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 11:17 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-26 20:05 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-25 16:53 | Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 19:02 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 19:02 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999953 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 14:27 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8959995412 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:07 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:05 | Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0317145689 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:03 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 04-29 07:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6099999959 | $140.00 |