PolyBot

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Traders

knmrobert

0x7c1c3a3e97c81f9235fc24c2811c7218ff5a0b5f

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$607.3k
Markets traded
205
Open portfolio
$113.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded205
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1500.105$47.04$20.16
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0090.007$34.50$6.69
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2100.205$17.02$0.41
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1320.112$14.72$2.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$33.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 9? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$5.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? · Yes0.4090.000$0.00$163.49
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on May 22? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00$55.09
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping? · No0.0920.000$0.00$11.00
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 · Over0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 30? · Yes0.3570.000$0.00$35.66
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$38.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 18? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$19.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00$7.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 04:18Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4?SELL0.3$3.86
09-03 14:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.57$17.10
09-03 14:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3?SELL0.138935$5.56
09-03 03:49Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 3?BUY0.08$1.63
09-02 16:43Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 3?BUY0.23$2.01
09-02 09:10Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2?BUY0.06$0.60
09-02 07:51Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 2?BUY0.1892$18.92
09-01 14:04Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?BUY0.33$3.30
09-01 13:49Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1?BUY0.66$29.24
09-01 12:46Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?BUY0.27$6.75
09-01 03:18Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 1?BUY0.04$0.24
08-31 18:03Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 1?BUY0.05$0.25
08-31 12:49Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?BUY0.47$14.10
08-31 12:24Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?SELL0.3145$15.72
08-31 11:17Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31?BUY0.4506986301$9.87