knmrobert
0x7c1c3a3e97c81f9235fc24c2811c7218ff5a0b5f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $607.3k
- Markets traded
- 205
- Open portfolio
- $113.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded205
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$148.49at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?
- +$146.12at 0.239Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$140.78at 0.125Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$97.99at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?
- +$93.90at 0.060Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.86 |
| 09-03 14:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $17.10 |
| 09-03 14:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 3? | SELL | 0.138935 | $5.56 |
| 09-03 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.63 |
| 09-02 16:43 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 3? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.01 |
| 09-02 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 09-02 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 2? | BUY | 0.1892 | $18.92 |
| 09-01 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-01 13:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.66 | $29.24 |
| 09-01 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.27 | $6.75 |
| 09-01 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.24 |
| 08-31 18:03 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-31 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $14.10 |
| 08-31 12:24 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.3145 | $15.72 |
| 08-31 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.4506986301 | $9.87 |