cm2897
0x7c1b3a6db8a1d57de8ee5d7bca620dc0623185c8
- Realised P&L
- $-10.6k
- Volume
- $1.93M
- Markets traded
- 3,148
- Open portfolio
- $9.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,148
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.5 · Over | 0.544 | 1.000 | $2.7k | +$1.2k |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 56.5 · Over | 0.473 | 1.000 | $2.3k | +$1.2k |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 58.5 · Over | 0.473 | 1.000 | $2.0k | +$1.1k |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 52.5 · Over | 0.541 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$556.39 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 60.5 · Over | 0.332 | 1.000 | $1.1k | +$710.99 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 50.5 · Over | 0.601 | 1.000 | $335.04 | +$133.47 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 62.5 · Over | 0.710 | 1.000 | $76.96 | +$22.29 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 56.5 · Under | 0.636 | 0.001 | $0.45 | −$575.20 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 60.5 · Under | 0.563 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$200.40 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 58.5 · Under | 0.556 | 0.001 | $0.14 | −$160.41 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 52.5 · Under | 0.477 | 0.001 | $0.09 | −$83.81 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 50.5 · Under | 0.394 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$46.00 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.5 · Under | 0.170 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$7.97 |
| Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 62.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$18.58 |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Dallas Wings · Los Angeles Sparks | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.254Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
- +$4.9kat 0.471Lions vs. Panthers
- +$4.7kat 0.137Saints vs. Ravens
- +$4.7kat 0.450Cowboys vs. Texans: O/U 46.5
- +$4.3kat 0.517Spread: Rams (-7.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 03:23 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 62.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $19.17 |
| 10-06 03:23 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 62.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $35.50 |
| 10-06 03:08 | Spread: Falcons (-21.5) | BUY | 0.5399999626 | $5.48 |
| 10-06 03:08 | Spread: Falcons (-21.5) | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $26.70 |
| 10-06 03:07 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 60.5 | BUY | 0.23 | $11.04 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 62.5 | BUY | 0.5899999949 | $18.60 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Spread: Falcons (-14.5) | BUY | 0.61 | $31.72 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Spread: Falcons (-16.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Spread: Falcons (-17.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $32.13 |
| 10-06 03:00 | Spread: Falcons (-17.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $53.04 |
| 10-06 02:59 | Spread: Falcons (-5.5) | BUY | 0.03 | $8.85 |
| 10-06 02:58 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $28.67 |
| 10-06 02:57 | Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | BUY | 0.05 | $4.95 |
| 10-06 02:56 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 60.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $41.34 |
| 10-06 02:51 | Falcons vs. Saints: O/U 48.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $118.68 |