PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

baggins178

0x7c112434f94ebf9e780f7bcc233f681d305148ff

Realised P&L
$-14.2k
Volume
$473.4k
Markets traded
750
Open portfolio
$42.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded750
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.5000.994$39.76+$19.76
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? · Yes0.2500.070$2.80−$7.20
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.003$0.12−$9.48
Will Atalanta BC vs. Venezia FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$13.10
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$8.88
Will Wales vs. Denmark end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$12.13
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.8800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$14.46
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$15.89
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00−$22.40
Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$16.99
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-25? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$20.68
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$24.05
Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$15.00
Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$11.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 11:51Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.25$10.00
11-01 11:15Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5$10.00
11-01 11:15Will Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?BUY0.24$9.60
11-01 11:14Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.5$20.00
11-01 11:14Will Elche CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?BUY0.29$11.60
11-01 11:14Will Elche CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.42$16.80
11-01 11:14Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.38$15.20
11-01 11:14Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.64$25.20
11-01 11:00Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.819999998$32.40
11-01 10:59Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?BUY0.28$11.20
11-01 10:59Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.38$15.20
11-01 10:59Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.67$26.80
11-01 10:59Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw?BUY0.25$10.00
11-01 10:58Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.4899999923$18.40
11-01 10:58Will Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?BUY0.33$13.20