kijhg
0x7c0c6d3815c63c13936edaad8d80855c5c95f75e
- Realised P&L
- $2.43
- Volume
- $783.82
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $11.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $11.19 | −$0.01 |
| Will "Homefront" be the top US Netflix movie this week? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.990Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.45at 0.995Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)
- +$0.39at 0.996Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.13at 0.999Will "Vladimir" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$0.10at 0.999US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C or below on September 26? | BUY | 0.9989999297 | $11.20 |
| 08-26 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 08-09 02:02 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.30 |
| 07-29 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 24°C or below on July 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.20 |
| 07-11 03:19 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 07-03 06:27 | Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 38.0 on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.9909999993 | $6.00 |
| 06-22 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9975435486 | $12.00 |
| 05-27 03:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on May 28? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.50 |
| 05-18 00:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 05-06 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on May 7? | BUY | 0.996 | $15.00 |
| 04-19 12:05 | Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9899494923 | $97.90 |
| 04-01 00:53 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.9989999905 | $95.00 |
| 03-09 02:16 | Will "Vladimir" be the top global Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9985879735 | $92.00 |
| 03-01 02:57 | Will "Reality Check: Inside America's Next Top Model" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.996 | $96.00 |
| 02-10 03:08 | Will "The Lincoln Lawyer: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.999 | $89.91 |