PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

android84

0x7bf696536bef0363264dcfeea0c0423e2cfd5219

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$408.7k
Markets traded
678
Open portfolio
$707.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded678
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.2430.195$214.50$52.39
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m? · Yes0.0580.074$141.55+$30.56
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m? · Yes0.0370.026$71.61$28.77
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.3670.265$58.30$22.40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.3630.175$52.50$56.50
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.4180.075$44.70$204.38
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3220.112$44.60$84.09
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.4300.335$33.50$9.50
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0920.075$22.65$4.85
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m? · Yes0.1460.005$11.92$335.56
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m? · Yes0.1500.174$6.10+$0.86
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · Yes0.0690.006$5.20$50.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$171.88
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$56.69
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? · Yes0.2650.000$0.00$100.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:35Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.079$47.40
09-17 16:34Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?SELL0.86$8.60
09-17 16:15Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.77$61.60
09-17 15:54Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?SELL0.7238360656$44.15
09-17 04:48Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?SELL0.883$69.64
09-16 14:17Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?BUY0.647$40.76
09-10 18:27Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?BUY0.32$3.79
09-09 04:55Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?BUY0.299$59.80
09-08 19:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.62$18.60
09-04 16:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.38$11.40
09-02 18:18Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.1$7.55
09-02 16:47Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$43.00
09-01 15:10Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosSELL0.49$14.70
09-01 15:05Chicago White Sox vs. Houston AstrosBUY0.5$15.00
09-01 14:41Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.64$102.39