0x7bed1b9ed5f24b36fc66fa3bcfb314fdc273bbf5
0x7bed1b9ed5f24b36fc66fa3bcfb314fdc273bbf5
- Realised P&L
- $600.79
- Volume
- $82.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,021
- Open portfolio
- $33.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,021
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.998 | $31.35 | +$21.45 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 25? · No | 0.713 | 1.000 | $2.44 | +$0.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.38at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?
- +$71.54at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 14?
- +$71.24at 0.092Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 15?
- +$61.90at 0.108Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 32°C or higher on August 20?
- +$61.69at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.75 |
| 09-25 08:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1652978242 | $1.03 |
| 09-25 07:53 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 09-25 07:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.23 | $3.68 |
| 09-25 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 09-25 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.98 | $43.41 |
| 09-25 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.73 |
| 09-25 07:24 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.26 | $6.56 |
| 09-25 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.26 | $0.44 |
| 09-25 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.62 | $3.10 |
| 09-25 06:02 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.49 |
| 09-25 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.579557328 | $29.06 |
| 09-25 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2010480175 | $10.09 |
| 09-25 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.3279628588 | $11.66 |
| 09-25 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.62 |