PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

newRichard

0x7bed11e52651b2cd5bea1555165fd7105dc374fe

Realised P&L
$34.88
Volume
$812.93
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$17.29

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)97.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · No0.6520.710$5.43+$0.44
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · Yes0.5900.575$4.87−$0.13
Will Isaias make landfall in Florida as a hurricane? · Yes0.4700.370$3.93−$1.06
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5400.305$2.82−$2.17
Will BC.Game Esports qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026? · No0.6320.029$0.23−$4.77
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:28Will SI.gov launch by October 15?SELL0.62$6.08
10-08 08:33Will Dua Lipa headline Coachella 2027?SELL0.65$0.65
10-07 22:51Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?SELL0.54$1.84
10-07 22:50Will Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a warden?SELL0.91$2.59
10-07 15:23Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?SELL0.54$1.84
10-07 14:33Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?SELL0.81$6.53
10-05 07:09Spain snap election called by October 31?SELL0.68$6.66
10-03 23:07Will Miami (FL) Make the 2027 College Football Playoff National Championship Game?SELL0.65$0.80
10-03 07:28Will Dak Prescott have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.27$1.65
10-03 07:26Will Dak Prescott have 30.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.28$1.40