0x7be3a8c87055764c7ac5b485908261ba65f96358
0x7be3a8c87055764c7ac5b485908261ba65f96358
- Realised P&L
- $6.43
- Volume
- $536.02
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $24.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Jie Cui vs Daniel Altmaier · Jie Cui | 0.500 | 0.285 | $23.75 | −$17.92 |
| Set Handicap: Anna Siskova (-1.5) vs Julia Riera (+1.5) · Anna Siskova | 0.500 | 0.013 | $0.49 | −$19.24 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.06 |
| Ravens vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.25 |
| Oregon vs. USC · USC | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.33 |
| Vikings vs. Buccaneers · Buccaneers | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.44 |
| Bari: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Filippo Moroni · Gianmarco Ferrari | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.83 |
| Panthers vs. Browns · Panthers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.73 |
| Spread: Penn State (-9.5) · Penn State | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.30at 0.090Iowa vs. Michigan
- +$32.38at 0.430Spread: Michigan (-5.5)
- +$24.04at 0.500Spread: Chiefs (-9.5)
- +$23.81at 0.500San Diego 2: Timo Legout vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$16.56at 0.470Raiders vs. Saints
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 22:15 | Raiders vs. Saints | BUY | 0.47 | $14.69 |
| 09-27 21:53 | Vikings vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.35 | $19.44 |
| 09-27 18:29 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.3 | $22.72 |
| 09-27 17:26 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $15.43 |
| 09-27 15:01 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5299999978 | $19.63 |
| 09-27 13:34 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.39 | $29.25 |
| 09-27 01:05 | Oregon vs. USC | BUY | 0.32 | $13.33 |
| 09-26 21:52 | Spread: Michigan (-5.5) | BUY | 0.43 | $24.43 |