BowTrix
0x7bda5e11e6d1ecf4ab075a7164fb40eb8211a136
- Realised P&L
- $-26.7k
- Volume
- $493.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No | 0.282 | 0.160 | $1.5k | −$1.2k |
| Papertrade FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.092 | 0.100 | $1.2k | +$90.80 |
| Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No | 0.526 | 0.530 | $543.25 | +$4.50 |
| Papertrade FDV above $75M one day after launch? · No | 0.138 | 0.140 | $463.96 | +$7.56 |
| Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? · No | 0.401 | 0.325 | $355.81 | −$83.06 |
| Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.430 | 0.405 | $42.32 | −$2.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.6kat 0.226Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31?
- +$7.4kat 0.000Will New World be a Top 5 game on Steam two weeks after release?
- +$6.1kat 0.281Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30?
- +$5.5kat 0.422Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1?
- +$4.2kat 0.214Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-04 12:07 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.5k |
| 03-07 11:19 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.2 | $60.00 |
| 03-07 09:46 | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $354.44 |
| 03-07 09:40 | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.05 | $247.41 |
| 03-07 09:31 | Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7? | BUY | 0.11 | $55.00 |
| 03-07 06:56 | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.07 | $59.94 |
| 03-07 06:47 | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.06 | $64.84 |
| 03-07 06:36 | Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7? | BUY | 0.08 | $104.00 |