0x7bD84B169770743B5135679516Bb992663ccaEaB-1753273582241
0x7bd84b169770743b5135679516bb992663ccaeab
- Realised P&L
- $-20.5k
- Volume
- $2.47M
- Markets traded
- 1,168
- Open portfolio
- $213.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,168
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.415 | $166.10 | −$2.51 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.430 | $31.63 | −$1.47 |
| Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? · No | 0.980 | 0.980 | $6.25 | −$0.00 |
| Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06? · No | 0.730 | 0.735 | $4.41 | +$0.03 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.9k |
| Penguins vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.554 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.39 |
| Pacers vs. Magic · Pacers | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$269.04 |
| Flyers vs. Kraken · Flyers | 0.555 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.53 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.67 |
| Suns vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.543 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.4k |
| Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Athletics | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$281.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.478Wild vs. Penguins
- +$5.7kat 0.138Nuggets vs. 76ers
- +$5.5kat 0.296Nuggets vs. Raptors
- +$5.2kat 0.552Clippers vs. Trail Blazers
- +$4.9kat 0.504Raptors vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 09:50 | Will North Macedonia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.25 |
| 10-06 03:56 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 18:34 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $28.80 |
| 10-05 18:34 | Will Italy win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.64 | $30.08 |
| 09-28 18:22 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.39 | $28.08 |
| 09-28 18:22 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.39 | $28.08 |
| 09-28 18:22 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.39 | $37.50 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.37 | $14.06 |
| 09-28 17:54 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.37 | $14.06 |
| 09-28 17:38 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.48 | $43.15 |
| 09-28 14:58 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.69 |
| 09-28 14:56 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.28 | $37.50 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.18 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.27 | $9.18 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.59 | $8.85 |