plm15
0x7bbe0987962a6cd2728d1656e0465e7fa8cab95e
- Realised P&L
- $5.0k
- Volume
- $201.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,950
- Open portfolio
- $341.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,950
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$282.07at 0.262Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 21?
- +$182.95at 0.541Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 13?
- +$178.10at 0.362Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 14?
- +$168.20at 0.448Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 12?
- +$160.05at 0.431Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.2968927043 | $27.84 |
| 09-28 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.37 | $21.26 |
| 09-28 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9037909294 | $44.44 |
| 09-28 12:51 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8676750554 | $14.08 |
| 09-28 12:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.6909336988 | $80.66 |
| 09-28 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0488166667 | $2.05 |
| 09-28 11:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.0511387389 | $14.58 |
| 09-28 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $35.82 |
| 09-28 10:11 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.79 |
| 09-28 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.18 |
| 09-28 09:01 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.8617901338 | $49.28 |
| 09-28 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $112.15 |
| 09-28 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.439422723 | $76.12 |
| 09-28 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.5618818392 | $24.36 |
| 09-28 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.59 |