PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

plm15

0x7bbe0987962a6cd2728d1656e0465e7fa8cab95e

Realised P&L
$5.0k
Volume
$201.9k
Markets traded
1,950
Open portfolio
$341.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,950
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? · Yes0.6910.945$110.32+$29.66
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 28? · No0.5051.000$79.42+$39.31
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 28? · No0.9040.960$47.20+$2.76
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 28? · Yes0.2970.405$37.98+$10.14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.7150.996$25.87+$7.29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 28? · Yes0.3700.410$23.56+$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28? · Yes0.8680.990$16.07+$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28? · Yes0.4390.003$0.52−$75.60
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on September 28? · No0.6840.001$0.07−$99.33
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 28? · No0.4380.001$0.06−$52.19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 28? · Yes0.7710.001$0.01−$17.93
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 28? · Yes0.4850.001$0.01−$10.92
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28? · No0.5620.002$0.00−$0.76
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 2? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00−$19.76
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 3? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00−$2.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 13:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on September 28?BUY0.2968927043$27.84
09-28 13:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 28?BUY0.37$21.26
09-28 13:04Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.9037909294$44.44
09-28 12:51Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.8676750554$14.08
09-28 12:31Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28?BUY0.6909336988$80.66
09-28 12:30Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28?SELL0.0488166667$2.05
09-28 11:51Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?SELL0.0511387389$14.58
09-28 10:21Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28?SELL0.99$35.82
09-28 10:11Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28?SELL0.99$20.79
09-28 09:14Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28?SELL0.002$0.18
09-28 09:01Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.8617901338$49.28
09-28 08:45Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 28?SELL0.99$112.15
09-28 08:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 28?BUY0.439422723$76.12
09-28 08:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28?BUY0.5618818392$24.36
09-28 07:39Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on September 28?SELL0.99$4.59