Lalaland9
0x7bb6d18152e058a47db5c9739cb198b24a977a82
- Realised P&L
- $-119.45
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $51.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.158 | $47.95 | −$16.95 |
| Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.110 | $3.65 | −$3.32 |
| Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.33 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$107.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.34at 0.597Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
- +$6.85at 0.180Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
- +$4.30at 0.201Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?
- +$3.86at 0.567Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$-6.04at 0.517Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 20:42 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.2116064818 | $31.21 |
| 10-05 20:39 | Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of October 17? | BUY | 0.21 | $6.97 |
| 09-21 09:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.11 | $60.54 |
| 09-20 19:37 | Will AfD win at least 38% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |
| 09-20 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.19 | $27.46 |
| 09-20 14:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999972 | $9.87 |
| 09-20 14:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 15:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $12.00 |
| 09-15 15:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | SELL | 0.43 | $12.65 |
| 09-14 17:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 12:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | SELL | 0.7 | $22.90 |
| 09-11 12:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | SELL | 0.25 | $29.76 |
| 09-05 22:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.5499999985 | $18.00 |
| 09-05 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 6? | SELL | 0.41 | $19.92 |
| 09-05 20:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? | BUY | 0.19 | $22.62 |