PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7bb62e47e1c0ee59ed4221f1b4445c386dd95085

Realised P&L
$-16.96
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$7.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration78.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0900.075$5.86$1.17
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0360.011$0.90$1.91
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0980.011$0.56$4.62
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0200.002$0.11$1.37
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00$2.24
Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$3.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 14:31Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.021$1.64
03-22 14:31Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.025$1.95
03-22 14:31Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.03543309$2.77
03-22 14:31Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.012$0.94
03-22 14:31Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?SELL0.029$1.51
03-22 14:31Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.07$8.09
03-22 14:21Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
03-22 14:18Will John Rodgers win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.0699999827$3.72
03-22 14:17Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0975817762$5.18
03-22 14:16Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.08$1.00
03-22 14:14Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?BUY0.0430449223$2.24
03-22 14:07Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?BUY0.03$1.56
03-22 13:46Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0196577166$1.48
03-22 13:46Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.015$1.17
03-22 13:46Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0370000001$2.89