tajir
0x7bb380292fd13b5ca4851dbcd73234d30d1b2682
- Realised P&L
- $29.7k
- Volume
- $777.7k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $33.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.459 | 0.935 | $31.2k | +$15.9k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.155 | $1.5k | −$150.00 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.038 | $359.97 | −$1.6k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.177 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.88 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$296.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1000.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.302US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$8.6kat 0.335US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.324US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.3kat 0.363Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$4.4kat 0.558US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 02:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $111.00 |
| 08-31 02:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $110.67 |
| 08-02 06:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.66 | $660.00 |
| 08-02 06:07 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.79 | $790.00 |
| 08-02 00:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.55 | $132.55 |
| 08-02 00:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.5510757 | $1.1k |
| 08-01 22:33 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.55 | $252.45 |
| 08-01 04:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.4299399988 | $2.1k |
| 08-01 01:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.8k |
| 08-01 01:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.18 | $341.15 |
| 07-29 06:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $629.98 |
| 07-29 05:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $630.00 |
| 07-29 05:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.341 | $102.30 |
| 07-27 05:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.0k |
| 07-26 04:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.301 | $301.00 |