thundertaker
0x7bae5a831793207fed12189831539ac6612b4604
- Realised P&L
- $-148.67
- Volume
- $13.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $625.42
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.360 | $492.97 | +$1.12 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.040 | $132.46 | −$104.81 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:02 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.041 | $14.58 |
| 09-13 02:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.346 | $24.36 |
| 09-13 02:41 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.042 | $25.65 |
| 09-10 22:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.378 | $79.95 |
| 09-09 16:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $68.38 |
| 09-09 16:42 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $72.83 |
| 09-09 16:36 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $82.11 |
| 09-09 16:34 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $82.11 |
| 09-09 16:33 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.357 | $82.11 |
| 06-02 12:45 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.057 | $35.62 |
| 06-02 11:46 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $21.74 |
| 06-02 11:23 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $3.41 |
| 06-02 00:34 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.067 | $10.73 |
| 06-02 00:18 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.072 | $2.83 |
| 06-01 21:51 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $6.93 |