PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

thundertaker

0x7bae5a831793207fed12189831539ac6612b4604

Realised P&L
$-148.67
Volume
$13.5k
Markets traded
2
Open portfolio
$625.42

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded2
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration78.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3600.360$492.97+$1.12
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0710.040$132.46$104.81

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:02Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.041$14.58
09-13 02:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.346$24.36
09-13 02:41Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.042$25.65
09-10 22:09Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.378$79.95
09-09 16:43Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.357$68.38
09-09 16:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.357$72.83
09-09 16:36Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.357$82.11
09-09 16:34Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.357$82.11
09-09 16:33Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.357$82.11
06-02 12:45Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.057$35.62
06-02 11:46Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.058$21.74
06-02 11:23Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.058$3.41
06-02 00:34Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.067$10.73
06-02 00:18Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.072$2.83
06-01 21:51Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.074$6.93