PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

StillWater0

0x7babd217c09df3a015e9a98325043190beaa8322

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$299.5k
Markets traded
476
Open portfolio
$115.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded476
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.2100.190$29.42$3.10
Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.0950.202$29.19+$15.43
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura? · Yes0.1900.155$23.25$5.25
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0700.045$22.50$12.50
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.056$8.32$42.67
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · Yes0.1400.033$3.25$10.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 17:47Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.06$15.00
08-31 03:47Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.34$0.46
08-31 00:02Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.22$9.65
08-30 17:06Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.039$0.58
08-30 13:47Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1934318182$8.51
08-28 14:01Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?SELL0.04$19.58
08-28 00:53Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.09$26.06
08-28 00:42Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?SELL0.028$2.70
08-26 01:25Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1119433517$23.73
08-26 01:15Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.111$15.65
08-25 02:46Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?BUY0.0415686275$10.60
08-21 17:24Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.085682$12.85
08-17 23:04Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.034$5.10
08-16 14:49Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.027$2.70
08-14 06:09Will Trump say "Biden" during remarks in New York?BUY0.1$6.80