PolyBot

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Traders

ThoughGate

0x7ba74d0ccc0501caa64d3b628a6e3e3149c5b461

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$51.2k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$874.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 09:58Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?BUY0.35$350.00
07-01 09:18Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.48$96.00
07-01 09:17Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.09$27.00
07-01 09:17Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.11$99.00
06-29 18:20Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.64$64.00
06-29 18:20Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.39$11.70
06-29 18:20Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.2$40.00
06-29 18:20Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.08$8.00
06-29 18:20Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.1$60.00
06-29 18:19Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.07$42.00
06-29 18:19Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.46$46.00
06-29 18:19Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.42$42.00
06-29 18:18Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.16$32.00
03-28 00:10Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETBUY0.5099999986$48.44
03-23 18:39Anduril IPO before 2027?BUY0.29$25.32