0x7bA007B8758a1aE157e516F6D1856C01ed34e9Bf-1757783605909
0x7ba007b8758a1ae157e516f6d1856c01ed34e9bf
- Realised P&L
- $98.32
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $24.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.011 | $24.17 | −$25.82 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.99 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · No | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.98at 0.650Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
- +$25.23at 0.888Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$16.61at 0.133Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
- +$9.19at 0.889US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?
- +$5.26at 0.950Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 17:27 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0217176703 | $50.00 |
| 08-01 18:03 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 02-28 06:59 | US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.9712668802 | $109.18 |
| 02-28 06:38 | US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.8895552221 | $100.00 |
| 01-10 12:53 | Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 21:06 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8879999999 | $200.00 |
| 10-10 08:19 | Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BUY | 0.323 | $45.87 |
| 10-05 11:44 | Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? | BUY | 0.6499999997 | $525.78 |
| 10-05 11:42 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | SELL | 0.1378393421 | $525.78 |
| 09-13 19:00 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BUY | 0.1557935735 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 18:48 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BUY | 0.13 | $154.17 |
| 09-13 18:45 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BUY | 0.12 | $58.77 |
| 09-13 17:48 | Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | BUY | 0.1199999988 | $80.00 |
| 09-13 17:28 | Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.99 |