door-negaah
0x7b99162b43ad0c11526d83d7e4e8ad5afeb1955f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $25.9k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.648 | 0.161 | $681.41 | −$2.1k |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.213 | 0.043 | $458.22 | −$1.8k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.065 | $215.85 | −$1.0k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.165 | 0.034 | $101.35 | −$398.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.270Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$766.36at 0.566Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
- +$636.36at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-23 14:00 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.5680661632 | $256.28 |
| 03-20 02:27 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6573701634 | $743.28 |
| 03-19 21:07 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2029279211 | $500.00 |
| 03-19 21:06 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.1652625382 | $500.00 |
| 03-19 21:05 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6429156738 | $1.2k |
| 03-14 00:22 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999994 | $250.00 |
| 03-14 00:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999994 | $255.00 |
| 03-14 00:21 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $500.00 |
| 03-14 00:21 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6949651124 | $500.00 |
| 01-08 22:57 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.4256216732 | $495.26 |
| 01-08 22:55 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.4399999996 | $500.00 |
| 01-08 22:50 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.5661375829 | $1000.00 |
| 01-08 16:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2699999997 | $500.00 |
| 01-08 16:21 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2292871917 | $500.00 |
| 01-08 16:18 | US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2103961493 | $1000.00 |