SpiRaX
0x7b900d4557c9e5400aa7b9832fefb66afccf1d17
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $621.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,060
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,060
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.40at 0.385Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$357.00at 0.643US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$195.68at 0.726Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$159.94at 0.799Will France win?
- +$146.20at 0.841Maduro out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 16:52 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.429293259 | $654.67 |
| 10-30 16:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.425 | $1.2k |
| 10-30 14:43 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.424 | $1.9k |
| 10-30 11:39 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.416 | $214.47 |
| 10-30 10:48 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.414 | $209.08 |
| 10-30 10:44 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.415 | $834.15 |
| 10-30 10:37 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.411 | $205.50 |
| 10-30 10:05 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.41 | $896.47 |
| 10-30 10:05 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $41.31 |
| 08-11 08:19 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 14:58 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9690731725 | $397.31 |
| 06-08 22:49 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $27.50 |
| 06-05 23:06 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $58.52 |
| 06-05 23:05 | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.631242 | $63.12 |
| 06-05 20:16 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4796761178 | $174.76 |