SpiRaX
0x7b900d4557c9e5400aa7b9832fefb66afccf1d17
- Realised P&L
- $-8.2k
- Volume
- $591.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,059
- Open portfolio
- $486.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,059
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$514.40at 0.385Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$357.00at 0.643US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$195.68at 0.726Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$159.94at 0.799Will France win?
- +$146.20at 0.841Maduro out in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 08:19 | Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 14:58 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9690731725 | $397.31 |
| 06-08 22:49 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.055 | $27.50 |
| 06-05 23:06 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $58.52 |
| 06-05 23:05 | Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.631242 | $63.12 |
| 06-05 20:16 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4796761178 | $174.76 |
| 06-05 20:15 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $92.22 |
| 06-05 20:15 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.062 | $132.68 |
| 06-05 15:28 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $58.00 |
| 06-05 15:28 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.027054784 | $67.64 |
| 06-05 15:28 | Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $84.99 |
| 06-05 15:27 | Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? | SELL | 0.9979843913 | $86.32 |
| 06-05 15:27 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.017 | $143.26 |
| 06-05 15:26 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $378.00 |
| 05-28 13:05 | Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.4409999963 | $49.22 |