0x7b8Ba57ec0A9A2A25534C2EfeE7A53A2f1BB724f-1772543224964
0x7b8ba57ec0a9a2a25534c2efee7a53a2f1bb724f
- Realised P&L
- $1.02
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $2.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.967 | 0.981 | $2.91 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.46at 0.298Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
- +$2.87at 0.610Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?
- +$1.64at 0.640Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?
- +$1.04at 0.660Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
- +$0.90at 0.769Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:53 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999948 | $1.54 |
| 10-29 22:52 | Will the Republican Party win the GA-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.9669999956 | $2.87 |
| 09-03 12:20 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9789999992 | $2.39 |
| 09-03 12:20 | Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.990999998 | $1.48 |
| 08-29 00:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9949999974 | $1.95 |
| 08-21 00:23 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.39 |
| 08-07 03:46 | Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.9669999994 | $1.68 |
| 08-07 03:44 | Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.986999999 | $2.04 |
| 07-30 20:14 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.39 |
| 07-30 20:11 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.883999982 | $1.18 |
| 07-22 08:45 | Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.9879999982 | $2.15 |
| 07-15 11:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9879996283 | $2.19 |
| 07-10 02:39 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.01 |
| 07-10 02:37 | Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.99 |
| 04-24 11:55 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.3k |