PolyBot

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Traders

0x7b897fe64ef265f6c1038e92e0100536b422fa22

Realised P&L
$0.73
Volume
$34.61
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$5.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.7000.865$1.24+$0.24
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.915$1.17+$0.17
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7400.795$1.07+$0.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6600.655$0.99$0.01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6? · Down0.3600.325$0.90$0.10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.145$0.19$0.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 05:34SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
08-05 19:05Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
08-05 10:28WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 5?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
08-05 02:06S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-04 18:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.66$1.00
08-04 09:50Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.719999856$1.00
08-04 01:47Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-03 17:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.7$1.00
08-03 09:46US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
08-02 21:10Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$1.00
08-02 00:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$1.00
08-01 16:21Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
08-01 02:46New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 18:38Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 10:37Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999699$1.00