Ajwritescrypt0
0x7b88161f737e26b60bc86a3adf9089aaf1285d08
- Realised P&L
- $-12.5k
- Volume
- $11.11M
- Markets traded
- 888
- Open portfolio
- $257.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded888
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech · Virginia Tech | 0.540 | 0.565 | $156.94 | +$6.94 |
| Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.545 | $100.93 | +$0.93 |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) · Spurs | 0.541 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs · No | 0.539 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline · Spurs | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$530.00 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.553 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$670.00 |
| Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5) · Duke Blue Devils | 0.522 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.6k |
| UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Cory Sandhagen | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Who will win the gold medal in Men's Skateboard Vert at X Games New Orleans 2026? · Yes | 0.125 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Spread: Eagles (-6.5) · Eagles | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$120.5kat 0.490Super Bowl LIX Winner
- +$40.2kat 0.595Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$26.1kat 0.580Lions vs. Eagles
- +$24.0kat 0.520Florida vs. Houston
- +$23.0kat 0.323Vikings vs. Cowboys
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 21:07 | Penn State vs. Northwestern: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.5399999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 21:06 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech | BUY | 0.5399999996 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 21:05 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $600.00 |
| 10-02 02:27 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.8499525005 | $21.3k |
| 10-02 02:24 | Spread: Browns (-5.5) | BUY | 0.6593406579 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 02:24 | Spread: Browns (-4.5) | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 02:18 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 02:08 | Spread: Browns (-4.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 10-02 02:06 | Spread: Browns (-7.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $150.00 |
| 10-02 01:58 | Spread: Browns (-10.5) | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 01:41 | Spread: Browns (-6.5) | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 01:35 | Spread: Browns (-6.5) | SELL | 0.59 | $0.20 |
| 10-02 01:35 | Spread: Browns (-2.5) | SELL | 0.76 | $0.18 |
| 10-02 01:33 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | SELL | 0.86748202 | $1.8k |
| 10-02 01:17 | Spread: Browns (-2.5) | SELL | 0.55 | $133.65 |