0x7b8344fe708e3febdcfc64dad7712c36b9801fe9
0x7b8344fe708e3febdcfc64dad7712c36b9801fe9
- Realised P&L
- $499.25
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $223.20
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.624 | 0.630 | $104.84 | +$1.06 |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%? · No | 0.760 | 0.956 | $86.00 | +$17.59 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? · Yes | 0.934 | 0.789 | $32.37 | −$5.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.73at 0.011Will Micron (MU) close above $1,300 end of July?
- +$59.02at 0.050Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $10,000 on the final trading day of December 2026?
- +$52.16at 0.013Will Micron (MU) close above $1,300 end of July?
- +$50.62at 0.277Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Vienna, Austria?
- +$33.91at 0.868Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in August be at least 100 mph?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:10 | Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.36 |
| 11-02 17:10 | Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.65 | $14.49 |
| 11-02 17:10 | Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6195540117 | $82.93 |
| 11-01 19:54 | Will Georgia be ranked top 3 on the Week 9 AP Poll? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 10-30 15:54 | Will there be at least 4800 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 10-30 15:54 | Will there be at least 4600 measles cases in the U.S. by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $44.49 |
| 10-30 00:52 | Will John Kelly win the next Hobart mayoral election? | BUY | 0.992747464 | $55.78 |
| 10-30 00:52 | Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election? | BUY | 0.996 | $205.18 |
| 10-27 19:35 | Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.51 | $24.50 |
| 10-26 19:45 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | SELL | 0.61 | $0.06 |
| 10-26 19:45 | Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 25.5 | SELL | 0.36 | $0.04 |
| 10-26 15:12 | Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | BUY | 0.96 | $480.00 |
| 10-26 15:11 | Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | BUY | 0.9291775342 | $65.27 |
| 10-26 12:22 | Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 15% to 18%? | BUY | 0.367 | $7.34 |
| 10-24 18:51 | Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by October 31? | BUY | 0.934 | $38.29 |