0x7b7d55e1fD3A27b669130B0209Ec78F9B7912cDD-1788699460150
0x7b7d55e1fd3a27b669130b0209ec78f9b7912cdd
- Realised P&L
- $-81.64
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $94.37
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19? · No | 0.798 | 0.835 | $87.63 | +$3.83 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.395 | $5.92 | +$1.57 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.055 | $0.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$17.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.29at 0.779Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 16?
- +$9.40at 0.901Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18?
- +$8.96at 0.917Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16?
- +$3.46at 0.339Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18?
- +$-1.23at 0.196Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.82 | $28.70 |
| 09-18 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.8 | $33.18 |
| 09-18 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.77 | $21.92 |
| 09-18 07:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 09-18 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.59 | $3.71 |
| 09-18 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 09-18 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.4557142857 | $3.99 |
| 09-18 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.4339158787 | $13.31 |
| 09-18 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $13.00 |
| 09-18 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.63 |
| 09-18 03:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.0957365764 | $4.17 |
| 09-17 08:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1461538462 | $1.90 |
| 09-17 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 08:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.1475409788 | $3.00 |