PolyBot

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Traders

Irishbog

0x7b789d42e668052f951625f4408dac3c158cf26d

Realised P&L
$-763.70
Volume
$34.4k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$3.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.1200.015$3.64$26.36
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$20.00
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.00
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$3.00
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31? · Yes0.2240.000$0.00$40.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$81.30
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.00
TikTok sale announced by October 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$20.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$4.00
Will the US loose jobs in September? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$20.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? · No0.1000.000$0.00$1.00
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump’s approval rating be <42.5% on October 10? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$88.19
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$2.25
Will Trump say "Bibi" during Egypt summit? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00$8.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-24 00:00US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999978$81.30
01-24 00:00US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
01-24 00:00Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?SELL0.0701711012$101.30
01-23 23:59US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?BUY0.0230000007$1.04
01-22 21:49Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?SELL0.0033726452$1.05
01-21 18:53Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?BUY0.2237482794$40.00
01-21 17:17Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum?BUY0.1757720312$54.49
01-21 16:57Will Germany join the Board of Peace?BUY0.1580246914$40.00
01-21 16:50Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
01-21 16:50Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.1371164402$100.00
01-21 16:49Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
01-21 16:47NATO dissolves before 2027?BUY0.1196013256$30.00
01-21 05:02Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?BUY0.0176978389$3.00
01-17 01:43US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.003$3.00
01-15 16:46US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.05$49.95