Irishbog
0x7b789d42e668052f951625f4408dac3c158cf26d
- Realised P&L
- $-763.70
- Volume
- $34.4k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $3.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$323.40at 0.083Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?
- +$32.60at 0.250Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?
- +$11.29at 0.143Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$3.00at 0.800Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
- +$1.41at 0.780US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-24 00:00 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999978 | $81.30 |
| 01-24 00:00 | US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 01-24 00:00 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0701711012 | $101.30 |
| 01-23 23:59 | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0230000007 | $1.04 |
| 01-22 21:49 | Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum? | SELL | 0.0033726452 | $1.05 |
| 01-21 18:53 | Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31? | BUY | 0.2237482794 | $40.00 |
| 01-21 17:17 | Will Trump shake hands with Emmanuel Macron at the World Economic Forum? | BUY | 0.1757720312 | $54.49 |
| 01-21 16:57 | Will Germany join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.1580246914 | $40.00 |
| 01-21 16:50 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 01-21 16:50 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.1371164402 | $100.00 |
| 01-21 16:49 | Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 01-21 16:47 | NATO dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.1196013256 | $30.00 |
| 01-21 05:02 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.0176978389 | $3.00 |
| 01-17 01:43 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 01-15 16:46 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $49.95 |