0x7B77268914Ed389db29af2Fb871D561eD4A247B3-1761773687853
0x7b77268914ed389db29af2fb871d561ed4a247b3
- Realised P&L
- $-7.38
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $5.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.25at 0.160Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?
- +$13.93at 0.140Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
- +$4.57at 0.650Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$3.87at 0.281Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$3.36at 0.550Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 01:53 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 01:51 | Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 22:57 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $7.88 |
| 04-24 22:57 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | SELL | 0.79 | $16.92 |
| 03-30 00:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 00:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 00:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 00:24 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.8790000002 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 00:24 | US forces enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 03-30 00:22 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 03-01 16:56 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.9482187164 | $26.45 |
| 03-01 16:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.71 |
| 03-01 16:56 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.43 | $7.68 |
| 02-28 20:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 20:37 | Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |