PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7B77268914Ed389db29af2Fb871D561eD4A247B3-1761773687853

0x7b77268914ed389db29af2fb871d561ed4a247b3

Realised P&L
$-7.38
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$5.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.2500.265$5.30+$0.30
Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8500.007$0.01−$0.99
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 7? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6? · Yes0.8330.000$0.00−$10.00
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? · No0.9300.000$0.00−$5.00
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 6? · Yes0.9320.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 15? · No0.2800.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? · No0.8990.000$0.00−$5.12
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor · Tate0.8420.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 01:53Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 30, 2026?BUY0.849999915$1.00
09-30 01:51Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.25$5.00
04-24 22:57Trump out as President before 2027?SELL0.84$7.88
04-24 22:57Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?SELL0.79$16.92
03-30 00:25US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?BUY0.529999965$5.00
03-30 00:25US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
03-30 00:25US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY0.4199999832$5.00
03-30 00:24US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.8790000002$5.00
03-30 00:24US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.7699999877$5.00
03-30 00:22Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
03-01 16:56Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.9482187164$26.45
03-01 16:56Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.54$8.71
03-01 16:56Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.43$7.68
02-28 20:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
02-28 20:37Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?BUY0.16$5.00