lankeleads
0x7b7357890f8193ca172a6830af9072f5c927c441
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $616.9k
- Markets traded
- 534
- Open portfolio
- $100.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded534
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.157 | $100.11 | −$299.72 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? · No | 0.493 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.736Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kings
- +$3.4kat 0.698Bucharest Open: Mariano Navone vs Daniel Merida Aguilar
- +$2.8kat 0.734Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.721Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$2.2kat 0.760Will US Bancorp (USB) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 14:26 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.499 | $3.49 |
| 09-08 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9577747748 | $127.58 |
| 09-04 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $142.00 |
| 08-13 07:11 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9777674419 | $126.13 |
| 08-12 07:10 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $131.75 |
| 08-12 07:07 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3106480875 | $33.22 |
| 08-11 08:33 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $48.28 |
| 08-11 05:22 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $55.56 |
| 08-10 14:50 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $11.50 |
| 08-10 06:57 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $133.62 |
| 08-09 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $122.58 |
| 08-08 13:28 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $28.24 |
| 08-07 13:11 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 08-05 13:54 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 08-04 05:51 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.837 | $86.88 |