0x7b72170c3d8397c9c81a5d0f466f7aa8ada4edec
0x7b72170c3d8397c9c81a5d0f466f7aa8ada4edec
- Realised P&L
- $7.65
- Volume
- $256.51
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $0.08
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$3.93 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.002 | $0.01 | −$3.99 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.08at 0.677Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$6.12at 0.619Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$4.36at 0.447Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 16:09 | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.0295099865 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 16:08 | Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting? | BUY | 0.027868805 | $2.00 |
| 10-27 05:22 | Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.943 | $19.04 |
| 09-21 07:23 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.996 | $73.45 |
| 09-20 06:19 | Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999868 | $8.33 |
| 09-20 06:16 | Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.931798722 | $8.75 |