LAOLIN
0x7b64b06aa2428479c3b860429d0c9698908a3906
- Realised P&L
- $-39.77
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $39.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 21? · No | 0.999 | 0.975 | $22.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? · No | 0.998 | 0.935 | $17.34 | −$1.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.81at 0.983Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$0.62at 0.994Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$0.46at 0.993Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.986Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$0.22at 0.993Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 05:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.50 |
| 09-21 05:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 05-27 12:22 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on May 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 05-27 12:21 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,700 on May 28? | BUY | 0.9989999724 | $35.00 |
| 05-27 12:20 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 28? | BUY | 0.998999961 | $25.00 |
| 05-27 12:20 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on May 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 05-27 12:20 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 27? | BUY | 0.997999883 | $8.00 |
| 03-17 12:09 | Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9859999997 | $30.66 |
| 03-17 12:08 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 03-13 08:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 March 9-15? | BUY | 0.9979999757 | $27.28 |
| 03-13 08:09 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.80 |
| 03-13 08:08 | Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $31.00 |
| 03-13 08:07 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by March 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.30 |
| 03-06 16:30 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.28 |
| 03-06 15:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |