Ferer
0x7b629cf36eeb1be4bac311f55d97cea2827778a5
- Realised P&L
- $-13.14
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.085 | $0.10 | −$0.98 |
| Will Genoa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.610Will JD Vance say "Coin" 25+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?
- +$0.95at 0.946Tether Insolvent in 2024?
- +$0.67at 0.748Will Ja’Marr Chase be the top Fantasy Flex Player?
- +$0.32at 0.760Will the US confirm SSN hack in August?
- +$0.30at 0.910US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 13:02 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $50.29 |
| 06-01 12:20 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 12:20 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 06-01 12:20 | Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $50.00 |
| 04-23 05:23 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $141.85 |
| 04-23 05:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | SELL | 0.998 | $109.98 |
| 04-21 07:51 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $141.00 |
| 04-21 07:51 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $140.86 |
| 04-21 07:51 | Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.993 | $142.00 |
| 04-21 07:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9979999989 | $109.97 |
| 04-11 05:29 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $109.88 |
| 04-11 05:29 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.993 | $103.89 |
| 04-09 09:18 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.997 | $104.00 |
| 04-09 09:18 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.996 | $104.58 |
| 04-09 09:17 | Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.997 | $105.00 |