PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ferer

0x7b629cf36eeb1be4bac311f55d97cea2827778a5

Realised P&L
$-13.14
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$0.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.9200.085$0.10$0.98
Will Genoa be relegated from Serie A after the 2025-26 season? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Russia recapture territory in Vilne by November 30? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$2.00
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$1.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 13:02Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$50.29
06-01 12:20Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9929999999$50.00
06-01 12:20Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$49.60
06-01 12:20Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9929999999$50.00
04-23 05:23Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$141.85
04-23 05:23Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?SELL0.998$109.98
04-21 07:51Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.993$141.00
04-21 07:51Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$140.86
04-21 07:51Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.993$142.00
04-21 07:50Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?BUY0.9979999989$109.97
04-11 05:29Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$109.88
04-11 05:29Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.993$103.89
04-09 09:18Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.997$104.00
04-09 09:18Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.996$104.58
04-09 09:17Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.997$105.00