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Traders

VLONA

0x7b60a227a667708daccda46276c5a1a1e96df259

Realised P&L
$-12.9k
Volume
$1.00M
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$14.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4290.406$10.8k$626.22
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.8030.839$3.5k+$149.31
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? · No0.1300.000$0.00$999.99
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$46.23
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? · No0.3700.000$0.00$1.31
Maduro out by March 31, 2026? · No0.6200.000$0.00$744.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15 · Up0.5200.000$0.00$1.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 23:54Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.0026958637$0.04
09-08 23:54Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.002$0.01
09-05 08:19Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.8026341633$460.95
09-05 08:17Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.036149247$24.12
09-05 08:17Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?BUY0.0356316571$26.87
06-08 03:22Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.453$6.39
06-08 03:02Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4581419878$225.86
06-08 03:01Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.995$2.9k
06-07 23:31Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.4422118321$231.72
06-03 23:01Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.1885098039$9.61
05-19 16:37Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.91$496.49
05-19 16:33Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.9$990.00
05-19 16:29Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.66$1.4k
05-08 05:28Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.75$109.21
05-08 01:18Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.75$75.00
Trader VLONA · PolyBot Pro