VLONA
0x7b60a227a667708daccda46276c5a1a1e96df259
- Realised P&L
- $-12.9k
- Volume
- $1.00M
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $14.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.429 | 0.406 | $10.8k | −$626.22 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.803 | 0.839 | $3.5k | +$149.31 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.99 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.23 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$744.00 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15 · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.4kat 0.489US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$9.5kat 0.248Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
- +$3.6kat 0.500Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?
- +$3.3kat 0.551Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.593US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 23:54 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.0026958637 | $0.04 |
| 09-08 23:54 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-05 08:19 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8026341633 | $460.95 |
| 09-05 08:17 | Will Karishma Manzur be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.036149247 | $24.12 |
| 09-05 08:17 | Will Chris Pappas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in New Hampshire? | BUY | 0.0356316571 | $26.87 |
| 06-08 03:22 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.453 | $6.39 |
| 06-08 03:02 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4581419878 | $225.86 |
| 06-08 03:01 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.9k |
| 06-07 23:31 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.4422118321 | $231.72 |
| 06-03 23:01 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.1885098039 | $9.61 |
| 05-19 16:37 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.91 | $496.49 |
| 05-19 16:33 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.9 | $990.00 |
| 05-19 16:29 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.4k |
| 05-08 05:28 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.75 | $109.21 |
| 05-08 01:18 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.75 | $75.00 |