0x7B5c0078d4F9CC7cd271E8d3c375EB7382A04960-1774346687518
0x7b5c0078d4f9cc7cd271e8d3c375eb7382a04960
- Realised P&L
- $11.4k
- Volume
- $851.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $23.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.511Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
- +$9.3kat 0.262Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$7.9kat 0.669Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.4kat 0.507Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
- +$7.0kat 0.502Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 16:51 | Falcons vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.4944736637 | $6.8k |
| 09-13 16:50 | Spread: Steelers (-6.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $6.9k |
| 09-12 22:56 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0619825698 | $990.96 |
| 09-12 07:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $60.90 |
| 09-11 02:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $724.76 |
| 09-11 02:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $31.6k |
| 06-19 12:32 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.013176621 | $38.66 |
| 06-15 13:07 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7577223269 | $11.7k |
| 06-15 02:56 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.23 |
| 06-15 02:00 | Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4313368659 | $660.17 |
| 06-14 03:54 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.0k |
| 06-14 00:27 | Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | BUY | 0.5182952543 | $5.0k |
| 06-13 01:10 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4899609501 | $3.0k |
| 06-13 00:53 | Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.0k |
| 06-12 02:51 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.7k |