0x7B5c0078d4F9CC7cd271E8d3c375EB7382A04960-1774346687518
0x7b5c0078d4f9cc7cd271e8d3c375eb7382a04960
- Realised P&L
- $-11.0k
- Volume
- $699.8k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $29.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.669 | 0.750 | $26.3k | +$2.8k |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.022 | $2.2k | −$50.00 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.036 | $766.49 | −$1.2k |
| Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.009 | $51.22 | −$26.76 |
| Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5 · Under | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.7k |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.758 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.7k |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.5k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.8k |
| Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets · Atlanta Braves | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.8kat 0.504Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5
- +$9.8kat 0.256Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$7.5kat 0.500Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5
- +$5.6kat 0.439Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
- +$4.9kat 0.216Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 12:32 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.013176621 | $38.66 |
| 06-15 13:07 | Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.7577223269 | $11.7k |
| 06-15 02:56 | Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.23 |
| 06-15 02:00 | Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4313368659 | $660.17 |
| 06-14 03:54 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.57 | $10.0k |
| 06-14 00:27 | Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 | BUY | 0.5182952543 | $5.0k |
| 06-13 01:10 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4899609501 | $3.0k |
| 06-13 00:53 | Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.31 | $5.0k |
| 06-12 02:51 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | SELL | 0.43 | $6.7k |
| 06-12 01:58 | Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.0k |
| 06-11 02:02 | Spurs vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.05 | $600.00 |
| 06-11 00:54 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.41 | $4.9k |
| 06-10 23:54 | Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $7.5k |
| 06-10 23:28 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.58 | $5.8k |
| 06-10 17:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | SELL | 0.87 | $134.10 |