PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Donaldobando

0x7b4fa5d8fd13960dc473f06891ef4cf87438dd76

Realised P&L
$-8.62
Volume
$61.39
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$1.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? · Yes0.9400.745$1.98$0.52
Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 22:32Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18?BUY0.939999985$2.50
09-14 16:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.998$2.08
09-03 05:25US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.96$2.00
09-02 21:13US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?SELL0.95$1.02
09-01 22:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?BUY0.9299997117$1.00
08-31 06:25Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?SELL0.982$1.06
08-30 17:33Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?BUY0.92$1.00
08-30 17:31Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$0.96
08-29 18:47Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
08-29 16:09Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?SELL0.982$1.19
08-24 06:49Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.8209999491$1.00
08-24 06:48Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?SELL0.941$1.00
08-23 18:47Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August?BUY0.9409992303$1.00
08-05 02:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
08-01 18:15Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?BUY0.3599998704$1.00