Donaldobando
0x7b4fa5d8fd13960dc473f06891ef4cf87438dd76
- Realised P&L
- $-8.62
- Volume
- $61.39
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $1.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.745 | $1.98 | −$0.52 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.38at 0.728Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$0.18at 0.831Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
- +$0.13at 0.887Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August?
- +$0.12at 0.894Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
- +$0.10at 0.960US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 22:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.939999985 | $2.50 |
| 09-14 16:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.08 |
| 09-03 05:25 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 09-02 21:13 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.02 |
| 09-01 22:15 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 06:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.06 |
| 08-30 17:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 17:31 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $0.96 |
| 08-29 18:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 16:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.19 |
| 08-24 06:49 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8209999491 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 06:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | SELL | 0.941 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 18:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9409992303 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 02:15 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 18:15 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |