ndmmoon
0x7b4726aee2cb262127b0f9628108f000bc3ff1f5
- Realised P&L
- $390.99
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 806
- Open portfolio
- $49.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded806
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.05at 0.093Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?
- +$57.70at 0.310Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 21?
- +$40.60at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 19?
- +$38.48at 0.230Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?
- +$38.00at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 16:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 13:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.04 |
| 09-23 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-23 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.09 |
| 09-23 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 18:58 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 10:08 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |