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Traders

ndmmoon

0x7b4726aee2cb262127b0f9628108f000bc3ff1f5

Realised P&L
$390.99
Volume
$45.0k
Markets traded
806
Open portfolio
$49.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded806
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23? · Yes0.4601.000$5.00+$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 23? · Yes0.4800.960$4.80+$2.40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 24? · Yes0.5700.720$3.60+$0.75
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.5500.555$2.77+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 24? · Yes0.5800.555$2.77$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 23? · Yes0.4300.515$2.57+$0.42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 25? · Yes0.5900.500$2.50$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? · Yes0.4700.490$2.45+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? · Yes0.4800.490$2.45+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.5800.470$2.35$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 24? · Yes0.4100.440$2.20+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 25? · Yes0.4200.430$2.15+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? · Yes0.4500.415$2.08$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 24? · Yes0.4300.400$2.00$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 24? · Yes0.5300.400$2.00$0.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 16:58Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 23?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 16:28Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 23?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 15:48Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 23?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 13:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 23?SELL0.999$1.04
09-23 13:04Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 23?SELL0.998$4.99
09-23 13:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 23?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 13:04Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 23?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 06:11Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on September 23?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 06:11Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 22?SELL0.999$4.09
09-23 06:10Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
09-23 06:10Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
09-22 18:58Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
09-22 13:33Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 39°C on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
09-22 10:08Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
09-22 08:46Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 22?SELL0.999$5.00
Trader ndmmoon · PolyBot Pro