PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

amarilys

0x7b407cab52675e8a52e965a78887969950a73c4f

Realised P&L
$-65.87
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
149
Open portfolio
$30.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded149
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 5? · No0.5901.000$19.99+$8.19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? · Yes0.3901.000$9.99+$6.09
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 5? · Yes0.0690.001$0.02−$2.32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 5? · Yes0.1000.001$0.01−$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 5? · No0.5400.001$0.00−$2.76
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group D · Alliance0.6470.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION0.5700.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · Gen.G0.6400.000$0.00−$10.00
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5) · G2 Esports0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · Anyone's Legend0.5800.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner · BNK FEARX0.6600.000$0.00−$10.00
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card) · Anthony Hernandez0.6800.000$0.00−$10.00
UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims) · Ding Meng0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner · Anyone's Legend0.6900.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage · LGD Gaming0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 18:31Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.8$10.26
09-22 12:09Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect PlayoffsBUY0.609999986$10.00
09-22 08:31Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7799999891$10.00
09-21 17:17Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.6799999946$10.00
09-21 14:30Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.599999988$10.00
09-21 13:23Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.629999995$10.00
08-30 08:10LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.64$10.00
08-29 20:59LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.7899999866$10.00
08-29 20:32Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ABUY0.5499999807$10.00
08-29 07:00UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.5599999776$10.00
08-29 06:57UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims)BUY0.7699999877$10.00
08-29 00:24Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsBUY0.6499999935$10.00
08-28 23:14Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsBUY0.6699999839$10.00
08-28 20:11Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BBUY0.64$10.00
08-28 16:43Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)BUY0.5699999966$10.00