amarilys
0x7b407cab52675e8a52e965a78887969950a73c4f
- Realised P&L
- $-65.87
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $30.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.75at 0.399Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 4?
- +$7.64at 0.572Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
- +$7.64at 0.572LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
- +$7.64at 0.572Counter-Strike: G2 vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
- +$7.64at 0.572Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:31 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $10.26 |
| 09-22 12:09 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 08:31 | Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 17:17 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 14:30 | Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.599999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 13:23 | Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 08:10 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 20:59 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 20:32 | Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 07:00 | UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Cameron Nelson (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 06:57 | UFC Fight Night: Lawrence Lui vs. Hector Santiago (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-29 00:24 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 23:14 | Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 20:11 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 16:43 | Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999966 | $10.00 |