xcvsdsee
0x7b3c6daa8a5cd16d3a8becd4a5c1abcec4e0667c
- Realised P&L
- $-8.34
- Volume
- $21.7k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $32.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.008 | $32.27 | −$32.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.33at 0.710Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
- +$9.20at 0.818Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
- +$8.50at 0.817Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.13at 0.970Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.043Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 02:24 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $533.87 |
| 06-24 01:46 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $525.74 |
| 05-23 02:24 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $153.18 |
| 05-22 02:39 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $153.18 |
| 04-27 02:00 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.817 | $408.50 |
| 03-31 02:35 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | BUY | 0.71 | $286.13 |
| 03-23 02:46 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.818 | $501.43 |
| 03-19 07:31 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.82 | $355.06 |