0x7B2Dc7dba6B0b413377b648F3018A30285a4bf2E-1782148607411
0x7b2dc7dba6b0b413377b648f3018a30285a4bf2e
- Realised P&L
- $-184.42
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $1.79 | −$2.21 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Up | 0.294 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET · Up | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET · Up | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET · Down | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Down | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up | 0.297 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.73at 0.332Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$22.19at 0.190Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
- +$18.63at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$14.49at 0.106Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$11.76at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 21:48 | Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.0078049161 | $4.00 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 21:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999938 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999938 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $45.10 |
| 06-30 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999908 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999956 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $6.38 |
| 06-30 21:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 21:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999952 | $25.00 |
| 06-30 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $7.73 |