PolyBot

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Traders

zzmeerus

0x7b2c8346adfaa473022f232d89f7cbd388b8d760

Realised P&L
$81.75
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
363
Open portfolio
$3.15

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded363
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6800.310$1.55$1.85
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.085$0.85$0.15
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.5100.096$0.48$2.07
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.5200.013$0.27$10.13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.4000.000$0.00$8.00
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET · Down0.5200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.3410.000$0.00$2.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET · Up0.4730.000$0.00$1.17
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.6000.000$0.00$1.00
Solana Up or Down - February 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.6900.000$0.00$0.79
Spread: Norway (-3.5) · Norway0.1800.000$0.00$1.00
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Algeria? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Up0.3940.000$0.00$1.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Up0.4360.000$0.00$1.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 16:54Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSELL0.97$1.82
08-23 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.5299998781$1.00
08-23 16:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.6$1.00
08-23 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.4$1.00
08-23 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-23 16:32Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETSELL0.96$1.31
08-23 16:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-23 16:07Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.2099998677$1.00
08-23 16:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-23 16:01Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
08-13 23:52Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.34$3.40
08-13 23:52Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.1215643129$6.08
08-13 23:52Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.69$20.70
08-13 23:52Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.73$36.50
07-11 08:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999946$10.00