palettequq
0x7b2c2388a3cf1e572531d18c1ae837836afd8062
- Realised P&L
- $7.80
- Volume
- $8.0k
- Markets traded
- 459
- Open portfolio
- $14.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded459
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? · No | 0.945 | 0.869 | $13.79 | −$1.21 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? · No | 0.975 | 0.998 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.85at 0.269Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$6.21at 0.538Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$6.13at 0.468US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$5.89at 0.817DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?
- +$4.24at 0.618Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 12:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9029999863 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12? | SELL | 0.993 | $5.02 |
| 10-12 08:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 04:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 04:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.24 | $0.51 |
| 10-11 17:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 17:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 11? | SELL | 0.989 | $9.92 |
| 10-11 17:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 16:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9939999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 16:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9769999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 08:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.9629999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 09:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 10? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.31 |
| 10-10 04:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |