0x7b29191d4dbecaa995d7c9f0867e265081977feb
0x7b29191d4dbecaa995d7c9f0867e265081977feb
- Realised P&L
- $-92.70
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 220
- Open portfolio
- $6.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded220
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.979 | $6.36 | +$1.36 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.041 | $0.46 | −$4.54 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.010 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.007 | $0.05 | −$0.95 |
| Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.004 | $0.03 | −$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.26at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.22at 0.651Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$14.82at 0.684Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$14.62at 0.890Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$13.37at 0.690Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 07:59 | Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 11:38 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7399999457 | $3.00 |
| 09-26 11:38 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 08-23 13:01 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-23 13:00 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Dutch Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-22 11:12 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 14:31 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 07-26 14:24 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 14:57 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.128999904 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 14:57 | Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:49 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3529997953 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:07 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3174998135 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:04 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 13:03 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 13:17 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3349998476 | $1.00 |