Eklipse2025
0x7b2378ecccec2b7ab26bbbbffb55197254f7fafc
- Realised P&L
- $625.98
- Volume
- $115.5k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $88.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.810 | 0.760 | $38.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will Thug Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award? · No | 0.580 | 0.665 | $26.60 | +$3.40 |
| Will Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.600 | $24.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.00 |
| Bucks vs. Kings · Kings | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.60 |
| Grizzlies vs. Lakers · Grizzlies | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Hornets vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$144.00 |
| Hornets vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$769.96 |
| Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.39 |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky · Connecticut Sun | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$170.50 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$696.40at 0.597Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$553.09at 0.700Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$520.95at 0.577Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx
- +$460.00at 0.770Timberwolves vs. Spurs
- +$319.12at 0.71576ers vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 02:16 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-30 04:12 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-24 04:31 | Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 08-17 03:49 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-17 01:54 | Will Team Secret Whales Win LCP 2026 Split 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.84 |
| 08-16 17:56 | Will JavierLoL Win the 2026 Soloq Challenge (High Elo) | SELL | 0.63 | $12.59 |
| 08-16 17:10 | Will Team Secret Whales Win LCP 2026 Split 3? | SELL | 0.35 | $6.27 |
| 08-06 03:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 07-27 06:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 07-20 03:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 07-11 09:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.784 | $15.68 |
| 07-02 06:43 | Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections? | BUY | 0.72 | $14.40 |
| 06-22 13:45 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 06-11 09:16 | Will "Obsession" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30? | BUY | 0.887 | $8.87 |
| 06-11 09:15 | Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.907 | $9.07 |