PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

123905

0x7b1fc7ec63fbe613a8e0d7bb51c47665a0371ea7

Realised P&L
$2.6k
Volume
$114.0k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$101.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8650.875$17.5k+$200.08
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat? · No0.9500.955$15.2k+$79.55
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes0.9450.957$6.4k+$74.46
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No0.6560.978$4.9k+$1.6k
Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat? · No0.9500.945$4.8k$25.35
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat? · Yes0.9400.945$3.5k+$18.78
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat? · Yes0.9430.967$2.4k+$60.04
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat? · Yes0.9440.944$2.4k$2.39
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-44 House seat? · Yes0.9400.935$2.4k$12.86
Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat? · No0.9440.957$2.3k+$30.99
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-03 House seat? · Yes0.9400.935$2.2k$11.74
Will the Republican Party win the OR-03 House seat? · No0.9400.935$2.1k$11.40
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-08 House seat? · Yes0.9300.945$2.1k+$33.75
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat? · Yes0.9420.971$2.1k+$62.45
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat? · Yes0.9430.965$2.0k+$44.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 02:58Will the Democratic Party win the GA-05 House seat?BUY0.9435321771$973.82
07-31 15:24Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?BUY0.94$246.20
07-28 03:33Will the Republican Party win the OH-03 House seat?BUY0.95$1.2k
07-28 02:53Will the Republican Party win the OH-11 House seat?BUY0.9446575015$790.21
07-27 17:52Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?BUY0.95$2.7k
07-26 15:26Will the Democratic Party win the MA-07 House seat?BUY0.9437041043$724.96
07-26 15:23Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?BUY0.95$997.44
07-25 21:34Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?BUY0.9444312801$2.4k
07-25 21:31Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?BUY0.95$3.2k
07-25 21:29Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?BUY0.9424195271$1.2k
07-25 04:06Will the Republican Party win the WA-07 House seat?BUY0.9432230584$907.46
07-25 03:59Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?BUY0.942$772.44
07-25 03:08Will the Democratic Party win the NY-07 House seat?BUY0.94$585.77
07-25 03:05Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?BUY0.95$853.00
07-25 02:11Will the Republican Party win the NJ-10 House seat?BUY0.95$997.50