Yarick
0x7b1ed3bcdcd923b6a11dfa90cd6585a3434f1385
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $303.1k
- Markets traded
- 470
- Open portfolio
- $7.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded470
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.409 | 0.171 | $6.9k | −$9.7k |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.028 | $153.03 | −$565.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.891 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$273.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$977.88at 0.530Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- +$156.99at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$156.90at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
- +$109.47at 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$106.60at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 05:40 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.186 | $3.72 |
| 08-31 05:40 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.185 | $9.25 |
| 08-31 05:40 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.184 | $3.68 |
| 08-23 21:09 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.948 | $118.46 |
| 08-23 17:21 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 17:20 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.85 | $39.95 |
| 08-23 17:18 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.88 | $88.00 |
| 08-17 03:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $5.70 |
| 08-17 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 03:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 01:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 01:40 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.178 | $48.02 |
| 08-09 22:30 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers | SELL | 0.999 | $69.92 |
| 08-09 20:58 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.989 | $54.39 |
| 08-09 20:58 | Baltimore Orioles vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.988 | $14.82 |