0x7b1cec680b8383ce195c278cc03051ba7f2a7840
0x7b1cec680b8383ce195c278cc03051ba7f2a7840
- Realised P&L
- $-116.68
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $95.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No | 0.849 | 0.937 | $30.07 | +$2.83 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NY-15 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.979 | $15.32 | +$0.44 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-08 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $14.96 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.545 | $7.54 | +$2.70 |
| Will the Republican Party win the AZ-07 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.999 | $5.21 | +$0.25 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.976 | $5.15 | +$0.19 |
| Will the Republican Party win the CA-08 House seat? · No | 0.950 | 0.965 | $5.04 | +$0.08 |
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-06 House seat? · No | 0.977 | 0.976 | $4.96 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-08 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.935 | $4.93 | −$0.03 |
| Will the Republican Party win the NV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.035 | $1.88 | −$2.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.03at 0.095Will Delfin SC win on 2026-08-03?
- +$-5.04at 0.105Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02?
- +$-14.15at 0.859S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 21?
- +$-24.66at 0.194SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21?
- +$-27.84at 0.844SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:40 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $3.04 |
| 08-04 01:54 | Will Delfin SC win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.0903302213 | $4.79 |
| 08-03 02:18 | Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.80 |
| 08-02 17:08 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.72 |
| 08-01 22:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.89 |
| 08-01 22:32 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.84 |
| 07-27 07:34 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.22 |
| 07-26 09:44 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.22 |
| 07-26 09:42 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.22 |
| 07-21 21:27 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.22 |
| 07-21 21:27 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999054 | $4.94 |
| 07-21 21:27 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.16 |
| 07-21 21:27 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999054 | $4.94 |
| 07-21 21:27 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.16 |
| 07-21 21:27 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.09 |